A rarely picked class wins every game: is it overpowered or just lucky?

A class played in only a handful of matches can show a perfect record by chance, and nerfing it on that basis would be a mistake. This entry shows how to pull small samples toward the overall picture so the ranking is not dominated by luck.

Why this works

A handful of games can look perfect by luck alone, and the more rarely something is tried, the more luck decides. Blending each small record with the overall result gives honest numbers: little evidence stays near the average, and only plenty of games lets a class stand out.

When not to use it

It cannot prove a class is balanced; it only says you do not know yet. Keep playing before changing anything. It also fails when classes always appear together in the same teams, since their results are then not independent. Treat close values as equal and change nothing on small gaps.

In the full entry

• What to build, step by step
• Starting values and the reason for each
• 2 common mistakes and the fix
• 27 lines of example code with 3 checks that pass
• How your AI shows you that it works

Say this to your AI

Use the Spielerando entry "A rarely picked class wins every game: is it overpowered or just lucky?" (read_entry class-win-rates-with-few-games-played) in my game. Build it step by step, and show me how you checked that it works.

Or skip this and connect the MCP: your AI then finds all of this by itself.Connect the MCP