At which turn do players start taking forever, and can I trust the late turns?

In turn-based games the time per turn tends to grow as the board fills up, until it feels like homework. Finding the turn where it takes off is useful, but the late turns come only from the players who stayed. This entry shows how to avoid fooling yourself.

Why this works

Typical values resist the one person who left the game open all night, and a late spike only means something when plenty of people reached that point. Later rounds are played by the keenest few, so thin data there can flatter or fool you.

When not to use it

Do not use it when slow turns are wanted, such as deep puzzle or planning games where thinking is the fun. Long turns there are a sign of interest. Look at whether players leave right after a long turn instead.

In the full entry

• What to build, step by step
• Starting values and the reason for each
• 3 common mistakes and the fix
• 27 lines of example code with 3 checks that pass
• How your AI shows you that it works

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Use the Spielerando entry "At which turn do players start taking forever, and can I trust the late turns?" (read_entry turn-time-balloon-detection) in my game. Build it step by step, and show me how you checked that it works.

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