What share of players clear a level in three lives if they improve with every try?

The usual formula for several attempts assumes every try is as hard as the first, but players learn the layout. A small rule with a rising chance per attempt gives numbers that match tests better, and it shows how many tries a typical player needs.

Why this works

People get better by failing, so each try is easier than the one before. Treating every attempt as a fresh gamble at the first chance understates how many players get through, while letting the chance rise with each try matches what playtests show.

When not to use it

Skip it when a level is mostly luck, or when failing teaches nothing, for example a pure chance gamble. Then attempts really are independent. Also skip it for guessing: measure the real number of tries from your testers.

In the full entry

• What to build, step by step
• Starting values and the reason for each
• 3 common mistakes and the fix
• 31 lines of example code with 4 checks that pass
• How your AI shows you that it works

Say this to your AI

Use the Spielerando entry "What share of players clear a level in three lives if they improve with every try?" (read_entry clear-chance-within-limited-lives-when-players-learn) in my game. Build it step by step, and show me how you checked that it works.

Or skip this and connect the MCP: your AI then finds all of this by itself.Connect the MCP